In this Weekly Wrap, we’re covering the impact of government immigration actions on the industry, third party delivery apps, what diners are looking for right now, and more.
The Headline: “Fewer diners, tense workers at L.A. restaurants amid Trump's immigration crackdown”
The Source: Yahoo
What You Need to Know:
The chilly first two months of the year are usually a peak business period for Teddy’s Red Tacos, where diners indulge in the restaurant’s specialty, birria — spicy, warm and deeply tender meat slowly braised in its own fat and served with a pool of flavorful broth.
But this year, it’s different.
The day after President Trump announced a series of immigration actions to fulfill a campaign promise of mass deportations, Teddy Vazquez, owner of Teddy's Red Tacos, noticed a steep drop in sales at all of his 10 locations in Los Angeles and Orange County.
Two weeks later, sales had dropped by half of what he’d normally make in January.
“People are afraid to go out. There’s no movement. There are no people coming in to eat," Vazquez said. "People don’t want to go out because they don’t know what is going to happen with this administration.”
Vazquez said most of his taco shops — from Echo Park to Anaheim — are in neighborhoods with a large proportion of immigrant inhabitants.
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Vazquez isn’t alone.
He’s one of several people in the food-service industry — from restaurateurs to back-of-the-house workers — who are bracing for the Trump administration’s immigration crackdown. Of an estimated 8.3 million workers without legal status who are employed in the U.S., approximately 1 million have restaurant industry jobs, according to the Center for Migration Studies, an international migration think tank in New York.
Several restaurateurs are scrambling to create plans in case ICE descends on their business. Managers are calling staff meetings to inform workers of their constitutional rights. Owners are circulating red cards to their restaurant staff advising them to "not answer any questions” if approached by an immigration agent.
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Restaurants, cafes and bars are “super easy targets” for immigration raids, she said, because there are so many of them. Also, ICE agents can legally enter public areas of a business, such as a dining room or waiting area of a restaurant without explicit permission.
“It provides good optics for the Trump administration,” she added.
ICE agents cannot lawfully enter private areas without permission or a warrant signed by a state or federal judge. These private areas include backrooms, kitchens, offices or other areas of a business not generally open to the public.
Sometimes ICE agents will present administrative warrants with the heading “U.S. Department of Homeland Security” as evidence of their permission to enter private areas, but it doesn’t give agents the right to enter private areas without the consent of an authorized employer.
“A lot of times people don’t know their rights and people just let them in,” Luu-Ng said.
Our Take:
While this report may lean toward sensationalism, there are legitimate reasons for concern within the restaurant industry. We have spoken with several restaurateurs across states like California, Texas, New York, and Florida, and all have expressed varying levels of apprehension. Their concerns extend beyond immediate staffing challenges to broader ripple effects throughout the industry.
For example, a restaurateur in Florida recently shared that while he is not currently facing staffing shortages, he is struggling with delays in his new restaurant's buildout. His contractor cited difficulties assembling a team, attributing the issue to fear among his primarily immigrant workforce.
In other cases, the challenges do not stem from employees themselves — many of whom have legal status — but from their family members who do not. This uncertainty has forced some workers to step away, compounding the labor shortage for others.
The restaurant industry has long depended on immigrant labor, both documented and undocumented. While these challenges will not mark the industry's end, they will undoubtedly lead to labor shortages and operational hurdles, with some markets feeling the impact more acutely than others.
The Headline: “Uber sues DoorDash, alleging it bullies restaurants into exclusive contracts”
The Source: Restaurant Business Online
What You Need to Know:
Uber is suing DoorDash, alleging that the rival delivery provider bullies restaurant chains into using its first-party delivery service by threatening to penalize them if they go with Uber.
In the complaint, filed Friday in California Superior Court, Uber alleges that DoorDash uses its large third-party ordering business as a cudgel to get restaurants to sign exclusive or preferred contracts for DoorDash Drive, its white-label delivery service.
The alleged tactics include threatening restaurants with multimillion-dollar penalties, higher fees or worse placement on the DoorDash marketplace if the restaurant plans to use Uber’s first-party service, Uber Direct.
Uber argued that the practices violate antitrust law and hurt competition.
A DoorDash spokesperson said Uber’s case is meritless. “Their claims are unfounded and based on their inability to offer merchants, consumers, or couriers a quality alternative,” the person said in a statement.
DoorDash added that restaurants that have stopped using DoorDash Drive later returned after trying other services.
The blockbuster lawsuit pits the country’s two largest third-party delivery players against one another at a time of rapid growth and heated competition in the delivery market. And it centers on a less-discussed part of the companies’ business model: first-party delivery, in which customers order through a restaurant’s own website or app, and Uber or DoorDash drivers handle the delivery.
According to the lawsuit, DoorDash has used coercive tactics to build a dominant position in the first-party delivery market. More than 90 of the 100 largest restaurant chains have an exclusive or preferred contract with DoorDash Drive, including brands like Burger King and Papa Johns.
At the same time, DoorDash handles more than half of all third-party delivery orders in the U.S. through its online marketplace, where consumers can order delivery from a variety of nearby restaurants. Uber argues that DoorDash has used that business as leverage to force restaurants to sign exclusive deals with its first-party service.
Our Take:
This lawsuit could drastically change the landscape of third party delivery apps. Pending its outcome, it could either change the predatory nature of the way that some of these third party apps do business or it could cement the status quo.
The third party delivery app business is experiencing challenges on the local level pertaining to how it compensates its drivers and the transparency of its pricing. Numerous cities and municipalities have sued or enacted legislation in an attempt to reform the industry.
In our opinion, the big players have too much power and behave in a predatory manner while providing, at times, the only outlet for businesses to have a revenue stream outside of traditional sit down or take out, which saved many establishments during the pandemic.
The unfortunate truth, however, is that this lawsuit will go on for years. The legal system is set up in a manner that this isn’t something that is going to be resolved anytime soon.
The Headline: “The State of Date Night Dining”
The Source: Eater
What You Need to Know:
What does “date night” mean for you?
Jennifer: We like to go out to restaurants. Since we had kids, date night has changed: It’s less often, but we still try to prioritize going out to restaurants. We support places in the neighborhood, but we also try to mix in new restaurants: James Beard nominees or very buzzy restaurants.
What are you looking for in a restaurant?
Jennifer: It’s not worth it for us just to have the food be good; it has to be the whole experience.
Justin: We don’t always get a chance to talk without a toddler pulling on our shirt and telling us that they need more water, so if a place is too loud or the chairs are weird, it’s not gonna be a place we go back to.
How has your approach to date night changed over time?
Jennifer: We’ve gotten way more discerning about the restaurants we go to. Before kids, we heard about a new place and we would check it out. Now, we do our due diligence in terms of reading what people say before we make the commitment.
Justin: As parents, we don’t have enough bandwidth in terms of date nights to give a lot of chances, unfortunately, so we really hope that on the first go, it blows us out of the water and becomes part of the regular rotation.
Jennifer: Our time and resources just feel more precious.
Frequency: Around once a month
Typical cost: $150 to $200 before tax and tip, plus $100 for childcare
Our Take:
This might just be a fun profile on what people do on their “date nights,” but as a restaurant operator or professional, understanding why guests dine out and what they seek when they do is crucial. Not every guest has the same reason or expectations, so recognizing their intent is essential.
The Headline: “Wingstop to roll out AI-fueled kitchen modernization effort”
The Source: Restaurant Business Online
What You Need to Know:
Preparing to hit a new goal of 10,000 restaurants averaging more than $3 million in sales, Wingstop is planning to roll out a new kitchen modernization effort designed to take the fast-casual chicken chain to its next level of growth.
Wingstop had another record year in 2024, with domestic same-store sales up nearly 20% for the year, driven mostly by transactions, which was on top of an 18% increase the previous year. Systemwide sales increased 36.8% to $4.8 billion.
For the Dec. 28-ended fourth quarter, domestic same-store sales increased 10.1%, also mostly driven by transactions. That was a relatively modest increase for the chain, which in the third quarter reported same-store sales up nearly 21%. For the quarter, systemwide sales increased nearly 28% to $1.2 billion.
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Last year, the chain rolled out a new MyWingstop tech stack that has enabled the chain to grow its consumer database from 40 million to 50 million users. Digital orders now represent about 70% of sales, and the chain hopes to become 100% digital.
The tech platform allows for more hyper-personalized engagement with guests, and users visit more frequently, have a higher average check, and their satisfaction rates have increased 6%.
Skipworth said the new kitchen operating platform will be a game changer, promising to speed service and increase worker productivity.
Describing it as co-developed and built specifically for Wingstop, the new kitchen system has been tested in about 30 restaurants and will be rolled out over the next 12 months. Skipworth said it uses artificial intelligence, but he didn’t say how specifically.
It’s not just digitization of the ticket and order workflow, he said, but it uses visual cues and “gamification” to better engage team members. The result is improved speed and “role clarity,” which ultimately improves productivity. There’s also a consumer-facing element, with screens designed to help manage guest expectations.
Skipworth said the kitchen modernization will make Wingstop more of the consideration set.
Our Take:
At this point, AI and tech advancements like these require significant capital and corporate leeway to commit to something on this scale. Wingstop is massive and continues to grow. Does what they are doing affect the majority of operators right now? It does not, but the advancements made down the road (and their subsequent successes or failures) will affect operators on the national and ultimately global scale.
For traditional sit down restaurants, these technological developments may be most beneficial in the back-of-house and accounting/controls area of the restaurant or bar. But we’re skeptical of the benefits to the front-of-house, guest-facing elements.
The majority of people want the comfort of an actual person waiting on them, but if labor shortages continue, operators may turn to tech as an alternative. (The exceptions here are fast casual and quick service restaurants, where, let’s be honest, most consumers are happy to order and receive their food with the least amount of human interaction possible.)